It is no secret that the SBT’s picks portion of the website has not had a good year. It’s been a tough season. I stopped betting pre-game bets about a week ago, and before that was only placing fractional units on them. I doubt anyone checks that portion of the site anymore because it has…

EDIT 2: Today’s model outputs are now posted as of 9:41am Pacific Time.  EDIT: There are a couple things I did wrong in my routine so there is a chance that things won’t be posted before 9am Pacific Time because I have to start over. The typical process on Saturday takes longer because there are…

EDIT: As of 3:25pm Pacific Time, the issues still have not been fixed. It’s not just affecting yesterday’s box scores, but every box score for this season. Looks like we aren’t going to get anything today, but I will keep checking. What worries me is that these issues will persist into the weekend or longer….

What a day. It was a long one, but I have rehabilitated my model and it should be good to go from here on out. I went back to January 27 and ran 10 days worth of model runs, one day at a time, to build a training database of roughly 400 games. The process…

“For every reaction, there must be an equal or opposite reaction” This is something that especially applies to doing something such as opponent adjustments for any power rating system or model. Unfortunately the way I was calculating home advantage was not being done properly. I calculate home advantage by taking the 800 most evenly matched…