It is no secret that the SBT’s picks portion of the website has not had a good year. It’s been a tough season. I stopped betting pre-game bets about a week ago, and before that was only placing fractional units on them. I doubt anyone checks that portion of the site anymore because it has…
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Scraping Website Issues Appear to be Fixed
EDIT 2: Today’s model outputs are now posted as of 9:41am Pacific Time. EDIT: There are a couple things I did wrong in my routine so there is a chance that things won’t be posted before 9am Pacific Time because I have to start over. The typical process on Saturday takes longer because there are…
Continue ReadingToday’s NCAAB Model Picks will be delayed or cancelled
EDIT: As of 3:25pm Pacific Time, the issues still have not been fixed. It’s not just affecting yesterday’s box scores, but every box score for this season. Looks like we aren’t going to get anything today, but I will keep checking. What worries me is that these issues will persist into the weekend or longer….
Continue ReadingModel Rehab Status
What a day. It was a long one, but I have rehabilitated my model and it should be good to go from here on out. I went back to January 27 and ran 10 days worth of model runs, one day at a time, to build a training database of roughly 400 games. The process…
Continue ReadingMajor Error Found in College Basketball Model, Affects Everything
“For every reaction, there must be an equal or opposite reaction” This is something that especially applies to doing something such as opponent adjustments for any power rating system or model. Unfortunately the way I was calculating home advantage was not being done properly. I calculate home advantage by taking the 800 most evenly matched…
Continue ReadingEnter Machine Learning Based Pick Selections
DISCLAIMER: This change went into effect for the SBT Plays section on February 7, and now the All Model Plays section reflects this with the pick dots that use the machine learning methods starting February 9. For those of you still checking to see what my college basketball picks are every day despite the avalanche…
Continue ReadingNo Site Updates from February 1-5
Due to me taking a vacation to Lake Tahoe this upcoming week I will not be updating the site from Monday, February 1 to Friday, February 5. I will be back in action on Saturday, February 6.
Continue ReadingBlender College Basketball Totals + Random Forest experiments
Since January 8, the Blender has performed the worst overall season to date on Totals. Today as I was experimenting with some things I noticed that I had trained the Blender Regression Model on the wrong dataset. I am not saying this change is all of a sudden going to make it amazing, but the…
Continue ReadingCollege Basketball Team and Individual Leader Pages Are Now Up
I have added some new pages to the college basketball section of the site. The Team Leaders and Individual Leaders pages allow you to access the leaders of various statistics which provide links to the leaderboards for the particular stats. These pages can be accessed via the navigation bar at the top of the page…
Continue ReadingCollege Basketball Individual Stat Pages Now Up
Individual Stat pages are now up on the site, accessed by clicking the name of a player on a team page. At some point I will add a players link at the top of the page but this is it for now. The individual pages are divided into 3 sections. The first section is the…
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