It is no secret that the SBT’s picks portion of the website has not had a good year. It’s been a tough season. I stopped betting pre-game bets about a week ago, and before that was only placing fractional units on them.
I doubt anyone checks that portion of the site anymore because it has not been a good year, but those of you who do, probably notice I didn’t update the website today.
I have had more success with 2H bets, and have placed all my bankroll strategies on those. However, I have not given up trying to solve the pre-game bet woes. I have put the website updates on hold to focus my time and energy for one last push on trying to find an edge with pre game bets. I dove into my approach and realize I was not properly utilizing my random forest strategies that I had been using which could explain some of the failures. Garbage in, garbage out. Working on that for a bit today, I feel a lot better on my random forest approaches going forward with the way I have restructured it and also properly utilizing the out of bag testing error rates. With that being said, I am far from finished. I hope to get the website back up to operating by Wednesday Morning, but we will see.
Consider this the last stand of my college basketball model this season.